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TexasShopping basicsChecked Oct 4, 2026

Fixed or variable electricity rate in Texas? How to choose without getting burned

In February 2021, a Dallas woman got a bill of over $11,000 for less than a week of power. Her plan passed wholesale prices straight through to her. That kind of plan is now illegal for homes, but a regular variable rate can still surprise you. Here's how each type works, and which one fits your home.

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Published 7 min readBy The Day Company review team · How we verify figures
$11,000+ billLess than a week, Winter Storm Uri
Banned for homesWholesale plans, since Sept 1, 2021
Short answer

Most Texas homes are safer on a fixed-rate plan of 12 months or longer. Its energy price stays the same for the whole term, except for pass-through costs like delivery. A variable rate can change every month. It usually has no cancel fee, but it can rise with little warning. The wholesale plans behind $11,000 Uri bills have been banned for homes since 2021.

October 1 and 4, 2026: CenterPoint and Oncor raised their delivery charges. Fixed plans can pass that change through, so even a fixed bill can rise a little.
Pick your rate type in 30 seconds

Staying put for a year or more? Lock a fixed rate of 12 months or longer.

  1. Moving within a few months? A variable rate avoids a cancel fee.
  2. Would a $100 surprise hurt? Go fixed before next summer.
  3. Check the fixed plan’s 3 prices. A big gap means a hidden credit or fee.
Take the 3-question test →
$9 per kWhWholesale price during Winter Storm Uri
$29MCharged to about 29,000 Griddy customers
Sept 1, 2021Wholesale plans banned for homes
14 daysSwitch fee-free before your contract ends

Built on public data from The Texas Tribune, the Texas House bill analysis of HB 16, the Public Utility Commission of Texas and Texas electric companies' fact labels and terms.

01 · The 3 types

What's the difference between fixed, variable and indexed rates?

Every plan's fact label names its type. The type decides who carries the risk when prices jump: you or your electric company.

FixedSame energy price for the whole term. It can change only for pass-through costs like delivery.
VariableThe price can change every month, usually with no cancel fee.
IndexedFollows a published price index. Wholesale-indexed plans are banned for homes.

On a fixed plan, the company takes the price risk, so it charges a cancel fee if you leave early. Direct Energy's fixed label, for example, says its price can change only for changes in delivery charges, ERCOT fees, or new laws. On a variable plan, you take the risk, so the company usually lets you leave anytime.

Next: how a wholesale plan turned into an $11,000 bill →

02 · The Uri lesson

How did some Texans get $11,000 electric bills in 2021?

During Winter Storm Uri in February 2021, state regulators held the wholesale price of power at $9,000 per megawatt-hour for days. That’s $9 per kWh, and customers on wholesale plans paid it directly.

Price per kWh: Uri's wholesale peak vs. a normal Texas home price
Uri wholesale, Feb 2021
$9.00
Texas average, July 2026
15.88¢

The wholesale price was about 57 times today's average home price. Texas average from EIA, July 2026.

Griddy sold the best-known wholesale plan. It charged its roughly 29,000 customers $29 million for energy during the storm, bankruptcy court records show, as reported by The Texas Tribune. It went out of business. Lawmakers then passed House Bill 16. Since September 1, 2021, it has banned electric companies from selling wholesale plans to homes.

What the ban doesn't cover: regular variable plans are still legal. Their price is set by your company each month, not passed straight from the wholesale market, but it can still rise after a hot summer or a cold snap.

Next: fixed vs. variable, side by side →

03 · Side by side

Fixed vs. variable: which costs less?

Neither always wins. A fixed rate buys you a known price. A variable rate buys you freedom to leave, at the cost of not knowing next month's price.

Fixed vs. variable electricity rates in Texas
QuestionFixed rateVariable rate
Can the price change?Only for pass-throughs like delivery chargesYes, as often as monthly
Cancel fee?Usually; $150 on the 12-month plans we've reviewedUsually none
Contract lengthOften 12 to 36 monthsMonth to month
Summer riskLow; the price is lockedHigher; prices can rise in hot months
Best forStaying put for a year or moreMoving soon, or between plans

The $150 cancel fee appears on the 12-month plans in our Direct Energy, Gexa and Green Mountain reviews. Check each plan's own label.

Next: the 3 questions that pick your rate type →

04 · Which one

Should I pick a fixed or variable rate?

Answer three questions. Most Texas homes land on fixed.

Fixed or variable? Follow the yes-or-no path
1. Moving out within a few months?A fixed plan locks your price through the summer, but it usually has a cancel fee.
YesVariable, or a fixed plan that waives the fee when you move
NoGo to question 2
2. Would a $100 surprise on one bill hurt?Variable prices can jump in July and August, when your AC runs hardest.
YesFixed, for 12 months or longer
NoEither can work. Fixed is still the safer pick. Go to 3.
3. Do the fixed plan’s 3 prices stay close?Its fact label shows a price at 500, 1,000 and 2,000 kWh. Or test it in our plan cost calculator.
YesSign it, and put the end date on your calendar
NoLook closer. A bill credit or base charge is moving the price.
05 · The rollover trap

Why do so many Texans end up on a variable rate by accident?

If you don't pick a new plan, your company moves you to a month-to-month plan, and that price can change every month. It's the most common way Texans end up on a variable rate without choosing one.

You'll get noticesBefore the contract ends

Companies must warn you before your contract expires. Direct Energy sends three, with the last at least 14 days before the end date.

Switch fee-freeIn your last 14 days

The state says you can switch with no cancel fee in the last 14 days of your contract.

Set a reminder for a month before your end date, compare plans on Power to Choose, and read the new plan's fact label before you switch. For every step, see what to do before your contract ends.

Keep readingContract ending soon? Use the 14-day window to switch with no fee
06 · Quick answers

Fixed vs. variable questions, answered

Is a fixed or variable electricity rate better in Texas?

For most homes, a fixed rate of 12 months or more is safer because the energy price stays the same through the summer. A variable rate can make sense if you're moving within a few months, since it usually has no cancel fee.

Can a fixed electricity rate go up?

Only for pass-through costs. Fixed plans can change for changes in delivery charges, ERCOT fees or new laws, but the energy price itself stays the same for the term.

What happened to Griddy customers in Winter Storm Uri?

Griddy passed the wholesale price straight through, and regulators held that price at $9 per kWh for days. Its roughly 29,000 customers were charged $29 million for energy during the storm, and one Dallas customer got a bill of over $11,000 for less than a week.

Are wholesale electricity plans legal in Texas?

Not for homes. A 2021 state law, House Bill 16, bans electric companies from selling wholesale plans to homes. It took effect on September 1, 2021.

Do variable rate plans have cancel fees?

Usually not, because the price can change month to month. Check the plan's fact label to be sure.

Can I switch from a variable rate to a fixed rate anytime?

Usually, yes. Most variable plans have no cancel fee, so you can move to a fixed plan when a good price shows up. Check your plan’s terms first, then compare fixed plans for your ZIP on Power to Choose.

How long should my fixed-rate plan be?

Long enough to cover at least one summer. A 12-month plan locks your price through the hottest months, and longer terms lock it even longer, but compare each label's prices and cancel fee.

Is a variable rate ever cheaper?

Sometimes, for a month or two, especially in mild weather. But you can't know next month's price, so most homes trade a little possible savings for the safety of a fixed price.

Where to next

What do you want to do next?

Every Texas guide, by topic

Browse every guide on the Texas hub. Or see every state's average price on our price map.

Sources

Sources and updates

Sources (8)
Changelog · last updated October 13, 2026 · 2 updates
  • October 13, 2026: Moved to theday.company/tx/fixed-vs-variable-rates; the old address forwards here. Added a quick decision box and a date alert and next-step links. Turned the 3-question guide into a yes-or-no decision chart, shortened the quick answer, sent contract-end steps to our contract-ending guide, added an answer on moving from a variable rate to a fixed one, and updated the list of Texas guides. No figures changed.
  • October 4, 2026: Guide published: fixed, variable and indexed rates, the Winter Storm Uri lesson and HB 16, a side-by-side comparison, a 3-question decision guide and the rollover trap.

How to cite this page: The Day Company, "Fixed or variable electricity rate in Texas? How to choose without getting burned", updated October 13, 2026, https://theday.company/tx/fixed-vs-variable-rates.

This guide explains plan types; it isn’t financial advice. Check each plan’s current fact label before you sign. The Day Company is not affiliated with any electric company named here.