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Are solar panels worth it in Texas in 2026? The honest math

Solar got more expensive when the 30% federal tax credit ended for systems installed after 2025. Texas also has no statewide net metering, so what your extra power earns depends on your plan. Here's when solar still pays in Texas, when it doesn't, and how to run your own numbers in two minutes.

Updated 8 min readBy The Day Company review team · How we verify figures
No 30% creditFor 2026 installs
5 days to cancelAny Texas solar deal
Short answer

It can be, if your home fits. Solar pays best in Texas when you use a lot of power, have a sunny roof with years left, and get a buyback plan that credits extra power well. With the 30% federal credit gone, payback takes about 14 years instead of 10 in our example. Texas law gives you 5 business days to cancel a solar contract.

Run your solar numbers
Since September 1, 2025: you can cancel any Texas home solar sale or lease within 5 business days, with no penalty.
Thinking about solar? Here’s your move

Solar pays best with a big bill, a sunny roof with years left and a good buyback plan. Run your numbers before you sign anything.

  1. Get a written quote with the price per watt and the yearly kWh.
  2. Check what your electric plan pays for extra power.
  3. Put the quote in our payback calculator, then compare.
Run your payback numbers →
$0Federal solar credit for 2026 installs
About 14 yrsPayback in our $26,000 example
15.88¢Texas average price per kWh
5 daysTo cancel any Texas solar contract

The 5 things to know

  • The 30% federal credit is gone. Systems installed after December 31, 2025 don't qualify.
  • Texas has no statewide net metering. Your electric company sets what extra power earns.
  • Power you use is worth the most. It saves your full price per kWh.
  • Payback takes longer now. About 14 years in our $26,000 example.
  • You get 5 business days to cancel. Texas law, for solar sales and leases since September 2025.

Built on public data from the IRS, the Texas Department of Licensing and Regulation, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, Austin Energy and the federal Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Not financial advice.

01 · Is your home a fit?

When is solar worth it in Texas?

Solar pays best when most of these are true. The more boxes you check, the better your odds.

You have a big billMore power used means more to save. See what homes like yours pay.
Your roof gets sunSouth or west-facing, with little shade from trees or buildings.
Your roof has years leftPanels last decades. Replace an old roof first, or pay to do it twice.
You can get a good buyback planA plan that credits extra power well makes a big difference.
You'll stay 10+ yearsPayback takes years, so solar rewards people who stay put.
You can pay cash or get a low rateLoan interest and fees stretch the payback even longer.
Texas has plenty of sun. A 2010 state House report, citing the State Energy Conservation Office, ranked Texas first in the nation for solar potential. Shade and roof direction matter more than which Texas city you live in.
  1. 1
    Open the free PVWatts calculator

    It’s run by the National Laboratory of the Rockies (formerly NREL), a federal lab. Oncor uses it to set its solar incentives. Open PVWatts.

  2. 2
    Enter your address and system size

    Use the size from your quote, and set the direction your roof faces.

  3. 3
    Bring the yearly kWh back here

    Type it into the payback calculator below to see your real payback.

Next: why payback got about 4 years longer in 2026 →

02 · What changed

Why does solar take longer to pay off in 2026?

The 30% federal credit paid for almost a third of a system. The IRS says it isn't available for property placed in service after December 31, 2025.

Years to pay off a $26,000 system saving $1,800 a year
Installed in 2025, with the credit
10.1 yrs
Installed in 2026, no credit
14.4 yrs

An example only. Bars start at zero. Your payback depends on your price, usage, roof and buyback plan.

Homes in Austin Energy’s service area paid about $3.27 a watt in 2025, its rebate records show, so a typical 8 kW system there runs about $26,000. Some utilities still help: Austin Energy pays a $4,000 rebate, and Oncor’s 2026 program pays installers, with or without a battery. See what solar costs in Texas and every incentive in Texas solar incentives.

03 · What solar saves

How much does each solar kWh save me?

It depends on where the power goes. Power you use at home saves your full price. Extra power sent to the grid earns whatever your buyback plan pays.

What 1 kWh of your solar power is worth
Used in your home
15.88¢
Sent to grid, 1:1 buyback plan
Up to 15.88¢
Sent to grid, no buyback plan
0¢

Bars start at zero. 15.88¢ is the Texas average price (EIA, July 2026). AEP Texas warns that some electric companies pay nothing for extra solar power, so check a plan’s fact label first.

Same 8 kW system ($26,160), different buyback plan: years to pay off
1:1 buyback plan
13.7 yrs
5¢ buyback plan
18.9 yrs
No buyback
22.9 yrs

Bars start at zero. Example: 12,000 kWh a year, 60% used at home, the 15.88¢ Texas average price (EIA) and $3.27 a watt (Austin Energy, 2025). Try your own numbers below.

That's why the buyback plan matters so much in Texas. Compare plans in our solar buyback plans guide, and check what a fair price per kWh is. Not sure you can pick a plan? Use our utility finder.

Be careful with big lifetime-savings claims in ads. They depend on guesses about your price, your buyback plan and future rates, so run your own numbers below. A battery can also store midday power for the evening; see is a home battery worth it?

What real plans pay right now. Of the 10 electricity companies whose solar plans we compared on October 5, 2026, only TXU’s System Flex credits extra solar power 1:1, at 15.3¢ per kWh. Most flat-rate plans pay 3¢ to 6.3¢, wholesale-rate plans averaged about 2¢ to 3¢ from July to September 2026, and the Constellation plan we checked doesn’t buy extra power. Compare all 10 with our calculator.

Next: run your own payback in 2 minutes →

04 · Free tool

Will solar pay off for my Texas home?

Use the numbers from a real quote if you have one. The starting numbers are examples. No 30% credit is applied, because it's gone for 2026 installs.

Texas solar payback calculator, 2026Estimates only. Nothing is saved.
About 18.9 years to pay off

Cost: $26,160. Yearly savings: about $1,383. Over 25 years: about $8,400 ahead.

A buyback plan that pays your full 15.88¢ for extra power would save you about $522 more a year.

Production comes from yuor quote. Savings assume today's prices with no rate increases, no panel wear and no loan costs. Not financial advice.

05 · How you pay

Should I buy, finance or lease solar?

How you pay changes the math as much as the panels do.

Ways to pay for solar in Texas
OptionUpfrontWho owns it
CashFull priceYou
LoanLittle or noneYou
Lease or PPAUsually $0The company
Cash or loanYou own the system

Cash usually saves the most over time. Loans add interest, and some loan quotes hide a dealer fee in the price, so ask for the cash price too.

Lease or PPARead the fine print

No upfront cost, but you pay for 20 years or more, often with yearly price increases. See the catch with free solar.

Next: your 5 days to cancel, and what else the new law does →

06 · Your rights

What does the new Texas solar sales law do?

Senate Bill 1036 took effect September 1, 2025. It covers solar sales and leases, and it gives you real protection.

  1. 1
    5 business days to cancel

    Every solar contract must let you cancel within five business days, with no penalty.

  2. 2
    Your loan cancels too

    If the seller works with or referred you to a lender, the contract must say that lender cancels the loan too.

  3. 3
    Sellers must register

    Since September 1, 2026, most solar sellers and salespeople must be registered with TDLR. Licensed electrical contractors are exempt.

  4. 4
    Real penalties

    A court can fine a seller up to $2,500 per violation, or up to $10,000 if the victim is over 65.

Have a problem with a seller? For contracts signed on or after September 1, 2025, file a complaint with TDLR. For older contracts, contact the Texas Attorney General's consumer protection office.
07 · Before you sign

What should I ask before I sign a solar contract?

Five questions that catch most bad deals.

  1. 1
    "What's the price per watt?"

    Total price divided by system watts. Austin homes averaged $3.27 in 2025. Under $3 is strong; over $4, ask why.

  2. 2
    "How much will it produce?"

    Ask for the yearly kWh estimate and a shade report for your roof.

  3. 3
    "What buyback rate did you assume?"

    Savings that assume a 1:1 plan won't hold on a low buyback plan.

  4. 4
    "Does my roof need work first?"

    Removing and reinstalling panels later costs extra. See roof costs.

  5. 5
    "Are you registered with TDLR?"

    It has been required since September 1, 2026. Then score the company yourself in 2 minutes.

Keep readingReady for quotes? See which Texas installers are still standing
08 · Quick answers

Is solar worth it? Questions, answered

Is solar worth it in Texas in 2026?

It can be, especially for homes with big bills, sunny roofs with years of life left, and a good buyback plan. With the 30% federal credit gone for 2026 installs, payback takes longer, so run your own numbers with a real quote before you sign.

How long does solar take to pay off in Texas?

It varies a lot. In our example, a $26,000 system saving $1,800 a year pays off in about 14.4 years without the credit, compared with 10.1 years when the 30% credit applied. Your price, usage and buyback plan change the answer.

Does my buyback plan change solar payback?

Yes, a lot. In our example, the same $26,160 system pays off in about 13.7 years on a plan that credits extra power 1:1. It takes 18.9 years at 5¢ a kWh and 22.9 years with no buyback. Compare plans in our solar buyback guide.

How much can solar save me a year in Texas?

It depends on how much power your panels make and where it goes. In our example, an 8 kW system making 12,000 kWh a year saves about $1,383. That’s $1,143 on power used at home at 15.88¢, plus $240 for extra power sold at 5¢. A 1:1 buyback plan would raise it to about $1,906.

Can I cancel a solar contract in Texas?

Yes. Since September 1, 2025, Texas law requires every residential solar sales or lease contract to let you cancel within five business days without penalty. If you cancel and the seller works with or referred you to a lender, the contract must say that lender cancels the loan too.

Is my roof good enough for solar?

It is if it gets sun most of the day and has years of life left. A roof that faces south or west, with little shade from trees or buildings, works best. If yours needs replacing soon, do that first. Taking panels off and putting them back later costs extra.

Is it better to buy or lease solar?

Buying with cash usually saves the most over time, and a loan works if the rate is low. Leases and power purchase agreements cost nothing up front, but you pay for 20 years or more, often with yearly increases, and you don't own the panels.

Will solar get rid of my electric bill?

Usually not completely. You'll still buy power at night and on cloudy days, and you'll still pay your utility's delivery charges. Solar shrinks the bill; a good buyback plan helps shrink it more.

Do solar panels work during a Texas power outage?

Not by themselves. For safety, most grid-tied systems shut off when the grid goes down. To keep power during an outage, you need a battery. See whether a home battery is worth it and what to do when the power goes out.

What makes solar a bad deal in Texas?

A small bill, a shady roof or a roof that needs replacing soon. So can a plan that pays little or nothing for extra power, or a loan with a high rate or a hidden dealer fee. In our example, no buyback alone stretches payback to about 23 years.

Up nextSee what your extra power earns with each companyOf the 10 companies we checked on October 5, 2026, only TXU’s System Flex credits 1:1. Compare them with a calculator. Read the guide
Where to next

What do you want to do next?

Every Texas guide, by topic

Browse every guide on the Texas hub. Or see every state's average price on our price map.

Sources

Sources and updates

Sources (17)
Changelog · last updated October 16, 2026 · 4 updates
  • October 16, 2026: We now score 25 Texas electricity companies, so the buyback note and the “Up next” link now say the 1:1 finding covers the 10 companies whose solar plans we compared on October 5, 2026. No figures changed. We also added our new city guides, four new company reviews and the Smart Meter Texas guide to the guide map. Corrected the seller fines, registration exemption and lender-cancellation wording to match Senate Bill 1036, labeled the $3.27 a watt price as Austin Energy’s, dated the solar-potential ranking and used the National Laboratory of the Rockies’ new name.
  • October 13, 2026: Moved to theday.company/tx/are-solar-panels-worth-it; the old address forwards here. Added a quick decision box, a date alert and a yearly buyback line in the calculator and next-step links. Tightened the short answer, swapped four answers that other guides cover in depth (net metering, the tax credit, property tax and waiting on prices) for answers on yearly savings, buyback plans, roofs and bad deals, and updated the seller registration date. No figures changed.
  • October 5, 2026 (evening update): Added current buyback figures from the 10 companies we’ve scored, an “Up next” link to our 10-company solar buyback comparison, and all 10 company reviews in the guide map.
  • October 5, 2026: Guide published: when solar pays in Texas without the federal credit, what each solar kWh saves, how the buyback plan changes payback, buy versus lease, the SB 1036 sales law and a 2026 payback calculator.

How to cite this page: The Day Company, "Are solar panels worth it in Texas in 2026? The honest math", updated October 16, 2026, https://theday.company/tx/are-solar-panels-worth-it.

Payback figures are illustrative and depend on your price, usage, roof, production and buyback plan; this is not financial or tax advice. Prices come from Austin Energy’s 2025 rebate records. Legal details summarize SB 1036 and TDLR guidance. The Day Company is not affiliated with any installer, utility or electric company named here.