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Is solar worth it in Texas in 2026? The honest math

Solar got more expensive when the 30% federal tax credit ended for systems installed after 2025. Texas also has no statewide net metering, so what your extra power earns depends on your plan. Here's when solar still pays in Texas, when it doesn't, and how to run your own numbers in two minutes.

Published 8 min readBy The Day Company Editorial Team · How we verify figures
No 30% creditFor 2026 installs
5 days to cancelAny Texas solar deal
Short answer

It can be, but it depends on your home. Solar pays best in Texas when you use a lot of power, have a sunny roof with years of life left, and pick a buyback plan that credits your extra power well. With the 30% federal credit gone, payback takes longer than it used to: about 14 years instead of 10 in our example. Texas law now gives you 5 business days to cancel any solar contract.

Run your solar numbers
$0Federal solar credit for 2026 installs
About 14 yrsPayback in our $26,000 example
15.88¢Texas average price per kWh
5 daysTo cancel any Texas solar contract

The 5 things to know

  • The 30% federal credit is gone. Systems installed after December 31, 2025 don't qualify.
  • Texas has no statewide net metering. Your electric company sets what extra power earns.
  • Power you use is worth the most. It saves your full price per kWh.
  • Payback takes longer now. About 14 years in our $26,000 example.
  • You get 5 business days to cancel. Texas law, for solar sales and leases since September 2025.

Built on public data from the IRS, the Texas Department of Licensing and Regulation, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, Austin Energy and the federal Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Not financial advice.

01 · Is your home a fit?

When is solar worth it in Texas?

Solar pays best when most of these are true. The more boxes you check, the better your odds.

You have a big billMore power used means more to save. See what homes like yours pay.
Your roof gets sunSouth or west-facing, with little shade from trees or buildings.
Your roof has years leftPanels last decades. Replace an old roof first, or pay to do it twice.
You can get a good buyback planA plan that credits extra power well makes a big difference.
You'll stay 10+ yearsPayback takes years, so solar rewards people who stay put.
You can pay cash or get a low rateLoan interest and fees stretch the payback even longer.
Texas has plenty of sun. The state ranks first in the nation for solar potential, according to the State Energy Conservation Office. Shade and roof direction matter more than which Texas city you live in.
  1. 1
    Open NREL’s free PVWatts calculator

    It’s run by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, a federal lab. Oncor uses it to set its solar incentives. Open PVWatts.

  2. 2
    Enter your address and system size

    Use the size from your quote, and set the direction your roof faces.

  3. 3
    Bring the yearly kWh back here

    Type it into the payback calculator below to see your real payback.

02 · What changed

Why does solar take longer to pay off in 2026?

The 30% federal credit paid for almost a third of a system. The IRS says it isn't available for property placed in service after December 31, 2025.

Years to pay off a $26,000 system saving $1,800 a year
Installed in 2025, with the credit
10.1 years
Installed in 2026, no credit
14.4 years

An example only. Bars start at zero. Your payback depends on your price, usage, roof and buyback plan.

Texas homes paid about $3.27 a watt in 2025, Austin Energy’s records show, so a typical 8 kW system runs about $26,000. Some utilities still help: Austin Energy pays a $4,000 rebate, and Oncor’s 2026 program pays installers, with or without a battery. See what solar costs in Texas and every incentive in Texas solar incentives.

03 · What solar saves

How much does each solar kWh save me?

It depends on where the power goes. Power you use at home saves your full price. Extra power sent to the grid earns whatever your buyback plan pays.

What 1 kWh of your solar power is worth
Used in your home
15.88¢
Sent to grid, 1:1 buyback plan
Up to 15.88¢
Sent to grid, no buyback plan
0¢

Bars start at zero. 15.88¢ is the Texas average price (EIA, July 2026). AEP Texas warns that some electric companies pay nothing for extra solar power, so check a plan’s fact label first.

Same 8 kW system ($26,160), different buyback plan: years to pay off
1:1 buyback plan
13.7 years
5¢ buyback plan
18.9 years
No buyback
22.9 years

Bars start at zero. Example: 12,000 kWh a year, 60% used at home, the 15.88¢ Texas average price (EIA) and $3.27 a watt (Austin Energy, 2025). Try your own numbers below.

That's why the buyback plan matters so much in Texas. Compare plans in our solar buyback plans guide, and check what a fair price per kWh is. Not sure you can pick a plan? Use our utility finder.

Be careful with big lifetime-savings claims in ads. They depend on guesses about your price, your buyback plan and future rates, so run your own numbers below. A battery can also store midday power for the evening; see is a home battery worth it?

04 · Free tool

Will solar pay off for my Texas home?

Use the numbers from a real quote if you have one. The starting numbers are examples. No 30% credit is applied, because it's gone for 2026 installs.

Texas solar payback calculator, 2026Estimates only. Nothing is saved.
About 18.9 years to pay off

Cost: $26,160. Yearly savings: about $1,383. Over 25 years: about $8,400 ahead.

Production comes from your quote. Savings assume today's prices with no rate increases, no panel wear and no loan costs. Not financial advice.

05 · How you pay

Should I buy, finance or lease solar?

How you pay changes the math as much as the panels do.

Ways to pay for solar in Texas
OptionUpfrontWho owns it
CashFull priceYou
LoanLittle or noneYou
Lease or PPAUsually $0The company
Cash or loanYou own the system

Cash usually saves the most over time. Loans add interest, and some loan quotes hide a dealer fee in the price, so ask for the cash price too.

Lease or PPARead the fine print

No upfront cost, but you pay for 20 years or more, often with yearly price increases. See the catch with free solar.

06 · Your rights

What does the new Texas solar sales law do?

Senate Bill 1036 took effect September 1, 2025. It covers solar sales and leases, and it gives you real protection.

  1. 1
    5 business days to cancel

    Every solar contract must let you cancel within five business days, with no penalty.

  2. 2
    Your loan cancels too

    If you cancel the contract, a third-party lender must cancel the loan.

  3. 3
    Sellers must register

    Solar retailers and salespeople must register with TDLR starting September 1, 2026.

  4. 4
    Real penalties

    Fines can reach $10,000 per violation, and up to $100,000 for repeat offenses against seniors.

Have a problem with a seller? For contracts signed on or after September 1, 2025, file a complaint with TDLR. For older contracts, contact the Texas Attorney General's consumer protection office.
07 · Before you sign

What should I ask before I sign a solar contract?

Five questions that catch most bad deals.

  1. 1
    "What's the price per watt?"

    Total price divided by system watts. Austin homes averaged $3.27 in 2025. Under $3 is strong; over $4, ask why.

  2. 2
    "How much will it produce?"

    Ask for the yearly kWh estimate and a shade report for your roof.

  3. 3
    "What buyback rate did you assume?"

    Savings that assume a 1:1 plan won't hold on a low buyback plan.

  4. 4
    "Does my roof need work first?"

    Removing and reinstalling panels later costs extra. See roof costs.

  5. 5
    "Are you registered with TDLR?"

    Registration is required starting September 1, 2026. See how to vet a Texas solar company.

08 · Quick answers

Is solar worth it? Questions, answered

Is solar worth it in Texas in 2026?

It can be, especially for homes with big bills, sunny roofs with years of life left, and a good buyback plan. With the 30% federal credit gone for 2026 installs, payback takes longer, so run your own numbers with a real quote before you sign.

How long does solar take to pay off in Texas?

It varies a lot. In our example, a $26,000 system saving $1,800 a year pays off in about 14.4 years without the credit, compared with 10.1 years when the 30% credit applied. Your price, usage and buyback plan change the answer.

Does Texas have net metering?

Not statewide. In deregulated areas, each electric company sets its own buyback terms. Some credit extra solar power at the same rate you pay, others pay a few cents, and AEP Texas warns some pay nothing. City utilities like Austin Energy and co-ops have their own rules.

Is there still a solar tax credit in 2026?

Not a federal one for homeowners. The IRS says the 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit isn't available for systems placed in service after December 31, 2025. Texas has no state income tax, so there's no state credit either.

Can I cancel a solar contract in Texas?

Yes. Since September 1, 2025, Texas law requires every residential solar sales or lease contract to let you cancel within five business days without penalty. If you cancel, a third-party lender must cancel the loan too.

Does solar raise my property taxes in Texas?

No. Texas Tax Code section 11.27 exempts the value a solar system adds to your home from property tax. File the exemption on Form 50-123 with your county appraisal district.

Is it better to buy or lease solar?

Buying with cash usually saves the most over time, and a loan works if the rate is low. Leases and power purchase agreements cost nothing up front, but you pay for 20 years or more, often with yearly increases, and you don't own the panels.

Will solar get rid of my electric bill?

Usually not completely. You'll still buy power at night and on cloudy days, and you'll still pay your utility's delivery charges. Solar shrinks the bill; a good buyback plan helps shrink it more.

Do solar panels work during a Texas power outage?

Not by themselves. For safety, most grid-tied systems shut off when the grid goes down. To keep power during an outage, you need a battery. See whether a home battery is worth it and what to do when the power goes out.

Should I wait for solar prices to drop?

There's no guarantee they will. Judge each quote on today's price per watt, your electricity price and your roof's condition. If the numbers work now, waiting means paying full price for power in the meantime.

Sources

Sources and updates

Sources (14)
Changelog · last updated October 5, 2026 · 1 update
  • October 5, 2026: Guide published: when solar pays in Texas without the federal credit, what each solar kWh saves, how the buyback plan changes payback, buy versus lease, the SB 1036 sales law and a 2026 payback calculator.

How to cite this page: The Day Company, "Is solar worth it in Texas in 2026? The honest math", updated October 4, 2026, https://theday.company/tx/is-solar-worth-it.

Payback figures are illustrative and depend on your price, usage, roof, production and buyback plan; this is not financial or tax advice. Prices come from Austin Energy’s 2025 rebate records. Legal details summarize SB 1036 and TDLR guidance. The Day Company is not affiliated with any installer, utility or electric company named here.